European Markets Rise As COVID Wave Knocks German Consumer Confidence

Nov 25, 2021

European Markets Rise As COVID Wave Knocks German Consumer Confidence

Despite an increase in coronavirus infections and rising inflation in Germany, European stock markets climbed on Thursday.

By afternoon trade in London, the FTSE 100 had risen 0.1 percent, while the CAC had gained 0.3 percent in Paris and the Frankfurt DAX had gained 0.1 percent.

Despite a recent increase in COVID and worries of another shutdown, consumer confidence in Germany fell to -1.6 in December, down 2.6 points from the previous month, according to the GfK barometer.

Meanwhile, third-quarter growth predictions for Europe's largest economy were lowered down from 1.8 percent to 1.7 percent.

"Consumer sentiment is presently being pressured from two sides," said Rolf Buerkl, a consumer analyst at GfK. “On the one hand, the number of cases in the fourth wave of the coronavirus pandemic is rapidly increasing, threatening to overwhelm the health system and resulting in more limitations. Consumer purchasing power, on the other hand, is shrinking due to a high inflation rate of 4%. The prognosis for the next holiday season is now a little grim."

Germany has become the latest nation to reach 100,000 coronavirus fatalities since the epidemic began, according to official numbers revealed on Thursday.

In other currency markets, the pound fell to an 11-month low versus the dollar, its lowest level of the year, as the potential of the US Federal Reserve tightening policy sooner than expected bolstered the greenback.

The pound fell 0.1 percent versus the dollar to $1.3304, its lowest level since December last year.

As a result of the news, the euro fell to its lowest level versus the dollar since July of last year. In addition, it was close to a 21-month low against the pound.

The markets in the United States are closed for the Thanksgiving holiday. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both finished Wednesday with solid gains, while the Dow fell marginally.

It came as statistics indicated that the US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.1 percent in the third quarter of this year, slightly faster than the 2% rate forecast a month earlier, with consumer expenditure up 1.7 percent.

The Bureau of Economic Analysis of the US Commerce Department said that growth slowed to 6.7 percent in the prior quarter due to a decrease in consumer expenditure.

Meanwhile, the US Labor Department said separately on Wednesday that initial jobless claims declined by 71,000 to 199,000 in the week ending November 20. This was more than analysts' expectations of 260,000, and it was the lowest level since November 1969, when it was 197,000.

On Thursday, Asian equity markets mainly climbed as a slew of positive economic data fueled hopes that the Federal Reserve will withdraw its massive financial assistance and raise interest rates sooner than expected.

The Nikkei increased 0.7 percent in Japan, while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong jumped 0.2 percent and the Shanghai Composite fell 0.2 percent.

Tensions between the US and China have risen further after Beijing stated it will take all necessary steps to defend its enterprises and threatened retaliation in response to the new round of US restrictions.

On Wednesday, the US government added 12 companies to its trade blacklist, citing national security and foreign policy concerns.

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South Korean CBDC – 7 South Korean Banks to Join Issuing The Digital Currency Since cryptocurrencies arrived on the financial scene and changed how people transact and transfer money, central banks have become more interested in developing their own virtual payment systems. After Russia, China, Nigeria, India, and Jamaica, South Korea is taking a major step toward introducing its own Central Bank Digital Currency in an upcoming pilot program involving the public and some major banks. The initiative aims to test the feasibility of a digital currency within the existing financial system, enabling a limited number of citizens to transact with CBDC at selected merchants and Points of Sale. This move aligns with the global trend of central banks exploring digital currencies to enhance payment efficiency, reduce transaction costs, and modernize the financial landscape. South Korea CBDC Pilot Program Bank of Korea (BOK), in collaboration with financial regulators, announced an initiative to test the rolling out of CBDC involving seven major banks and 100,000 participants. The pilot program “Project Hangang” is scheduled to run from April to June 2025, focusing on testing deposit tokens issued by banks and backed by the CBDC. These banks include KB Kookmin Bank, Shinhan Bank, Hana Bank, Woori Bank, NH NongHyup Bank, Industrial Bank of Korea (IBK), and Busan Bank. These tokens will be used for transactions in both online and offline retail environments, allowing the government and financial institutions to evaluate their effectiveness. Users and Merchants Participation The BOK is expected to announce the project by the end of March, asking 100,000 South Koreans to participate in the pilot and convert their traditional bank deposits into digital tokens for payments. Individuals will be limited to a maximum holding of 1 million WON (approximately $687) and a total transaction cap of 5 million WON during the trial’s duration. Various merchants, including convenience stores, supermarkets, coffee shops, and online platforms, will accept these tokens as payment. Notable participants include 7-Eleven, Hanaro Mart, Ediya Coffee, Silla University, and Hyundai Home Shopping. This will help assess the practicality and usability of the CBDC across different retail settings. Global Adoption of CBDC The South Korean CBDC initiative is part of a broader global trend, with many countries exploring digital currencies to modernize their financial systems. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has been actively promoting CBDC projects worldwide, with major economies such as China, the European Union, and the United States conducting their own trials. China’s digital Yuan e-CNY is already in an advanced phase, with widespread adoption in various sectors. The European Central Bank is also working on a digital Euro, while the US Federal Reserve is researching the potential implications of a digital Dollar. These initiatives aim to improve payment efficiency, enhance financial inclusion, and strengthen monetary policy frameworks. Conclusion South Korea’s CBDC pilot marks a significant step toward digital financial transformation. By involving the public, key banking institutions, and merchants, the trial will offer critical data on the viability of digital currencies. As more countries explore CBDCs, these findings could influence future implementations worldwide, paving the way for a more efficient payment system.

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South Korean CBDC – 7 South Korean Banks to Join Issuing The Digital Currency

South Korean CBDC will be tested in a Central Bank-led pilot project involving 100,000 users and 7 issuing banks. Here’s what we know about this project.

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