How Bad Are Things in China? Goldman Sachs Just Slashed Its Growth Forecast to Zero

Sep 28, 2021

Goldman Sachs Just Slashed Its Growth Forecast to Zero

Goldman Sachs has become the latest bank to cut its China growth forecast, citing the country’s power crunch, now expecting zero gross domestic product growth in the third quarter.

Production has been halted at a number of factories, including some supplying Apple (ticker: AAPL) and Tesla (TSLA), due to widespread shortages, partly caused by tight coal supply and increased demand post-Covid lockdowns. Strict emissions targets introduced by Beijing, as part of an effort to fight climate change, are also a factor and have led to local authorities curbing energy use to avoid exceeding limits.

Goldman Sachs (GS) lowered its GDP growth projection for the third quarter to 0% quarter-over-quarter, down from 1.3 percent previously, and lowered its fourth-quarter forecast to 6% from 8.5 percent. The third-quarter growth prediction was lowered from 5.1 percent to 4.8 percent, and the fourth-quarter forecast was lowered from 4.1 percent to 3.2 percent.

China's energy constraints were described as "yet another growth shock" by the Wall Street bank, which dropped its full-year 2021 GDP growth prediction to 7.8% from 8.2% previously.

The bank's analysts, lead by Hui Shan, wrote in a report that "recent severe cuts in production across a range of high-energy-intensity industries add to the already strong downside pressures in the growth outlook."

They said there is still "substantial uncertainty" coming into the fourth quarter, citing the China Evergrande (3333.HK) stressors and the government's approach to manage them as examples.

According to them, the energy issue is a “new but tightening” growth constraint, adding to downward pressures on property sales and construction, Covid limitations to combat local breakouts, and Beijing's broad regulatory crackdown.

This isn't the first time the company has been downgraded. Nomura lowered its full-year GDP growth projection from 8.2% to 7.7% on Friday. Ting Lu, the bank's senior China economist, warned the figure may be even lower.

In a letter, he wrote, “Beijing's unparalleled resolution in imposing energy consumption limits may result in long-term gains, but the short-term economic costs are substantial.”

The shortages, according to China International Capital Corp. (3908.HK), will reduce the country's growth rate by 0.1 to 0.15 percentage points in the third and fourth quarters.

Morgan Stanley analysts predict a one-percentage-point drop in GDP growth in the fourth quarter if the output restrictions continue for the remainder of the year.

Subscribe Our Newsletter

Here’s Our List of the best stocks with big Dividends.
Here’s Our List of the best stocks with big Dividends.

Investors have several concerns, including the development of the Omicron Covid variant, inflation, and the Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate hike. However, the stock's bright spot is unlikely to change: The forecast for dividends in the United States in 2022 continues to improve.

Stocks
US Senators Introduce Algorithmic Stablecoins Legislation

Nato

Senators Lummis and Gillibrand Introduce Algorithmic Stablecoins Legislation

Discover the latest bipartisan bill proposed by US Senators Cynthia Lummis and Kirsten Gillibrand to regulate algorithmic stablecoins.

Crypto
B2BROKER Liquidity B2BROKER Liquidity
Sponsored
Hazem

What is Finviz Stock Screener​? Review & User Guide
Equity traders track various platforms and charts to make timely and informed decisions. What makes finviz stock screener​ the best tool for stock day traders?

discover
5 Reasons to Switch to Perpetual Futures

Hazem

5 Reasons Traders Are Switching to Perpetual Futures

Financial markets are changing all the time, and what’s hot today can be totally unlike what dominated recently or a month prior. So always stay one step ahead of news and updates in your industry, and perpetual futures are the key nowadays! These instruments are perpetual agreements, unlike traditional futures contracts and forwards, which are […]

Crypto Exchange Business
Contact us bg

Contact Us

Contact the Liquidity Provider
for any questions and advertising inquiriesb2broker

    Please fill out this contact form to get in touch with us

    / 3000

    By clicking “Get in touch” button, you agree to the privacy policy

    Successful!
    Thank you for your request.
    We will contact you shortly.
    Close

    Hazem

    MetaTrader vs cTrader: Which Trading Platform Shall You Choose?

    MetaTrader vs cTrader: The Full Breakdown

    Сonstantine

    Will Dogecoin Reach $1? Tokenomics and Price Analysis

    Will Dogecoin Reach 1 Dollar Analysis

    Сonstantine

    How to Get a Crypto Exchange License?

    How to Get Crypto Exchange License

    Сonstantine

    Best Crypto to Buy Now: Guide for Investors

    Best Crypto To Buy Now

    Hazem

    Grok vs ChatGPT: What’s the Best AI Assistant You Need in 2025

    Grok vs ChatGPT

    Сonstantine

    How to Choose the Right Liquidity Provider for Your Brokerage

    How to Choose the Right Liquidity Provider for Your Brokerage

    Сonstantine

    Low-Latency Trading Defined: Speed, Strategy and Technology

    Low-Latency Trading Explained

    Hazem

    How Liquidity Depth Affects Slippage in High-Volume Trading

    Liquidity depth and slippage in trading

    Hazem

    What is FIX API Liquidity Connection and How Does it Power Institutional Trading?

    FIX API in institutional trading

    Сonstantine

    OTC Trading Strategies and Technologies to Succeed in Over-the-Counter Markets

    OTC Trading Strategies

    Alexander

    What is OTC Trading? A Complete Guide for 2025

    what is OTC

    Alexander

    Synthetic Futures: A Trader’s Guide to Replicating Positions with Options

    How to Trade Synthetic Futures

    Сonstantine

    Order Book Depth: What It Is And Why It Matters?

    Order Book Depth What It is And Why It Matters

    Alexander

    Spot vs Perpetual Futures: Which Is Right for You?

    Spot vs Perpetual Futures explained

    Hazem

    5 Reasons Traders Are Switching to Perpetual Futures

    5 Reasons to Switch to Perpetual Futures

    Constantine

    Top 3 Liquidity Challenges Facing New Exchanges and How to Solve Them

    Top 3 Liquidity Challenges Facing New Exchanges Today

    Constantine

    Financial Planning in the Cryptocurrency Era — Master Crypto and Digital Asset Strategies

    Financial Planning in the Cryptocurrency Era

    Hazem

    Best Platforms to Trade Perpetual Futures in 2025

    Best platforms to trade perpetual futures in 2025

    Alex

    Top 10 Fintech Website Development Agencies for 2025

    Best Fintech Website Development Agencies for 2025

    Сonstantine

    Internal vs External Range Liquidity In ICT Trading Explained

    Internal vs External Range Liquidity In ICT Trading

    Constantine

    Portfolio Backtesting — Tools, Metrics, and Methods Explained

    Portfolio Backtesting

    Сonstantine

    ICT Trading Explained: Smart Money Concepts, Tools and Setups

    ICT Trading Explained

    Сonstantine

    CFD Trading Strategies: A Practical Guide to Risk and Execution

    CFD Trading Strategies

    Alexander

    What is a Fair Value Gap? A Guide to Trading Market Imbalances

    What is Fair Value Gap
    liquidity-provider-logo
    • News
      • Stock Market Forecast
      • Stocks
      • Banks and Finance
      • Companies
      • Crypto
      • Forex
      • AI
      • Technology
      • DeFi
      • NFT
    • Articles
      • Crypto Payments
      • Trading
      • Crypto Exchange Business
      • Forex Business
      • Fintech
      • Liquidity
      • FinTech Awards
      • Blockchain
      • Investing
      • NFT
      • DeFi
    • More
      • Videos
      • Liquidity Providers List
      • Crypto Payment Providers
      • White Label Brokerage Platforms
      • Broker CRM Platforms
    [email protected]

    © 2024 Liquidity Provider. All Rights Reserved

    Privacy Policy Cookie Policy
    This site is registered on wpml.org as a development site. Switch to a production site key to remove this banner.