Stocks Stumble as Fed Speeds Up Stimulus Phase Out

Dec 21, 2021

Stocks Stumble as Fed Speeds Up Stimulus Phase Out

"The true measure of intellect is the capacity to hold two diametrically opposed thoughts in mind at the same time and still operate," F. Scott Fitzgerald stated. According to that standard, the collective intelligence that drives the stock and bond markets is entirely amazing.

According to one idea, stocks sank this week on fears that major central banks might raise interest rates to rein in inflation. Simultaneously, bond rates have been declining, despite the same concerns about rate hikes and despite the greatest inflation data in over four decades.

What is unsurprising is that the major Western central banks convened and turned, in varying degrees, away from the extraordinarily accommodating policies they had maintained since March 2020, through the worst of the financial and economic consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic's outbreak.

As predicted, the Federal Reserve said that it would accelerate the winding down of its securities purchases, paving the path for higher interest rates as early as March. Meanwhile, the Bank of England stunned investors by raising interest rates, despite the deterioration of the Omicron variety in the United Kingdom. Additionally, the European Central Bank stated that it will gradually reduce its bond purchases next year, with a rate hike conceivable as late as 2023.

After first responding with relative calm to the Fed's decision, equities fell significantly on Thursday and proceeded to fall through the rest of the week. As explained here a week ago, the S&P 500 index was dominated by the five most prominent technology companies, and when these mega-caps eventually succumbed, the main indexes succumbed as well.

Their once impermeable condition disguised a number of other decreases. According to J.P. Morgan strategist Marko Kolanovic, on average, US equities are down 28% from their highs this year, while the wider market (as measured by the Russell 3000) is up approximately 22%: "Such a gap is unusual in the recent four weeks, indicating a historically exceptional overshoot in selling smaller, more volatile, often value and cyclical stocks."

Stocks may continue to be under pressure as the year ends, owing to institutional portfolio rebalancing, according to Maxwell Grinacoff, BNP Paribas' equity derivatives strategist. Given the S&P's outperformance compared to bonds, he forecasts that between $1 trillion and $1.4 trillion will be moved from stocks to fixed income this quarter, with around half occurring this month.

Perhaps this helps to explain part of the continued demand for long-term bonds, despite the potential of raising the federal fund's target from its present range of 0%-0.25% levels. According to the CME's FedWatch website, the futures market now offers even-money chances on a March liftoff. Additionally, the markets have completely priced in three quarter-point raises by the end of 2022, which aligns with the Fed's revised expectations following last week's policy meeting.

What's perplexing is the market's apparent belief that inflation will decline as the Fed forecasts, with the personal consumption expenditure deflator rising to 2.6 percent in 2022 from a projected 5.3 percent in 2021 and 2.1 percent in 2024. According to the market for Treasury inflation-protected securities, predicted inflation over the next five years (as measured by the consumer price index) has decreased to 2.70 percent from 3.17 percent a month ago.

Thus, inflation is projected to be contained as the Fed continues to pursue a relatively easy policy, as seen by the real fed-funds rate being below zero in a virtually full-employment economy. That requires a very exceptional intelligence (the collective intelligence).

Subscribe Our Newsletter

Advanced Markets Has Expanded Its Partnership With Centroid Solutions
Advanced Markets Has Expanded Its Partnership With Centroid Solutions

The cooperation will provide FX brokers, traders, and asset managers with world-class solutions as well as tools to succeed in today's highly competitive and dynamic market.

Stocks
Goldman Sachs joins Wall Street competition Liquidity provider news
Goldman Sachs Joins Wall Street Competition in Raising Junior Banker Pay

Goldman Sachs is raising the salaries of its junior bankers, the last big Wall Street business to do so in a year marked by record deal making activity and strong rivalry for employees.

Banks and Finance
B2BROKER Liquidity B2BROKER Liquidity
Sponsored
Konstantin

Moonpay Review — Is It Legit?
Find out what the Moonpay trading platform is, what advantages and disadvantages it has, and whether it is legal for use in trading practices.

discover
Supplemental Liquidity Provider on NYSE

Nato

What Is A Supplemental Liquidity Provider (SLP) On The NYSE?

Learn about Supplemental Liquidity Providers (SLPs) on the NYSE - key market participants using high-speed trading to enhance market liquidity.

Fintech
Contact us bg

Contact Us

Contact the Liquidity Provider
for any questions and advertising inquiries

    Please fill out this contact form to get in touch with us

    / 3000

    By clicking “Get in touch” button, you agree to the privacy policy

    Successful!
    Thank you for your request.
    We will contact you shortly.
    Close

    Сonstantine

    How to Get a Crypto Exchange License?

    How to Get Crypto Exchange License

    Сonstantine

    Best Crypto to Buy Now: Guide for Investors

    Best Crypto To Buy Now

    Hazem

    Grok vs ChatGPT: What’s the Best AI Assistant You Need in 2025

    Grok vs ChatGPT

    Сonstantine

    How to Choose the Right Liquidity Provider for Your Brokerage

    How to Choose the Right Liquidity Provider for Your Brokerage

    Сonstantine

    Low-Latency Trading Defined: Speed, Strategy and Technology

    Low-Latency Trading Explained

    Hazem

    How Liquidity Depth Affects Slippage in High-Volume Trading

    Liquidity depth and slippage in trading

    Hazem

    What is FIX API Liquidity Connection and How Does it Power Institutional Trading?

    FIX API in institutional trading

    Сonstantine

    OTC Trading Strategies and Technologies to Succeed in Over-the-Counter Markets

    OTC Trading Strategies

    Alexander

    What is OTC Trading? A Complete Guide for 2025

    what is OTC

    Alexander

    Synthetic Futures: A Trader’s Guide to Replicating Positions with Options

    How to Trade Synthetic Futures

    Сonstantine

    Order Book Depth: What It Is And Why It Matters?

    Order Book Depth What It is And Why It Matters

    Alexander

    Spot vs Perpetual Futures: Which Is Right for You?

    Spot vs Perpetual Futures explained

    Hazem

    5 Reasons Traders Are Switching to Perpetual Futures

    5 Reasons to Switch to Perpetual Futures

    Constantine

    Top 3 Liquidity Challenges Facing New Exchanges and How to Solve Them

    Top 3 Liquidity Challenges Facing New Exchanges Today

    Constantine

    Financial Planning in the Cryptocurrency Era — Master Crypto and Digital Asset Strategies

    Financial Planning in the Cryptocurrency Era

    Hazem

    Best Platforms to Trade Perpetual Futures in 2025

    Best platforms to trade perpetual futures in 2025

    Alex

    Top 10 Fintech Website Development Agencies for 2025

    Best Fintech Website Development Agencies for 2025

    Сonstantine

    Internal vs External Range Liquidity In ICT Trading Explained

    Internal vs External Range Liquidity In ICT Trading

    Constantine

    Portfolio Backtesting — Tools, Metrics, and Methods Explained

    Portfolio Backtesting

    Сonstantine

    ICT Trading Explained: Smart Money Concepts, Tools and Setups

    ICT Trading Explained

    Сonstantine

    CFD Trading Strategies: A Practical Guide to Risk and Execution

    CFD Trading Strategies

    Alexander

    What is a Fair Value Gap? A Guide to Trading Market Imbalances

    What is Fair Value Gap

    Vitaliy

    Triangle Patterns in Trading: Mastering Ascending, Descending & Symmetrical Strategies for Maximum Profit

    Triangle Patterns in Trading: Ascending, Descending & Symmetrical Guide

    Alexander

    What Is COTI? Payments, Token & Price Prediction

    What is a COTI coin
    liquidity-provider-logo
    • News
      • Stock Market Forecast
      • Stocks
      • Banks and Finance
      • Companies
      • Crypto
      • Forex
      • AI
      • Technology
      • DeFi
      • NFT
    • Articles
      • Crypto Payments
      • Trading
      • Crypto Exchange Business
      • Forex Business
      • Fintech
      • Liquidity
      • FinTech Awards
      • Blockchain
      • Investing
      • NFT
      • DeFi
    • More
      • Videos
      • Liquidity Providers List
      • Crypto Payment Providers
      • White Label Brokerage Platforms
      • Broker CRM Platforms
    [email protected]

    © 2024 Liquidity Provider. All Rights Reserved

    Privacy Policy Cookie Policy
    This site is registered on wpml.org as a development site. Switch to a production site key to remove this banner.