Relax: Here’s the Bright Side of High Yield Bonds 2023

Oct 04, 2023

Here’s the Bright Side of High Yield

High yield bonds 2023 and the 10-year yield has just reached 4.7%, up from 3.8% in mid-July and less than 1% for much of 2000. Since 2007, this has been the greatest yield. The Federal Reserve and China are both selling Treasury bonds. Furthermore, purchasers are supposed to be suddenly concerned about US debt, so they must be enticed with ever-higher rates.  

Stocks may suffer as a result, according to Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan strategists. BofA Securities’ senior stock strategist, Savita Subramanian, is still optimistic. “Companies have time to sort of adapt to this new higher-rate, higher-inflation environment,” she states. More on that chat later.

Three fast emotional solaces for worried investors: First, while yields are greater, they are not very high. According to statistics from FRED, the Federal Reserve’s economic data arm, the average daily 10-year Treasury yield has been more than a point higher than it is currently — 5.9%. Since 1971, the average 30-year mortgage rate has been 7.7%, compared to 7.3% recently.

The anti-inflation crusade of the early 1980s, when mortgage rates reached 15%, pushed both averages upward. However, they are also dragged down by a considerably longer period from the global financial crisis to early last year, when the Treasury had to adjust its software to allow for negative-yield bidding on T-bill auctions. According to monetary historians, long rates are recovering from a 5,000-year low. So who is to determine what is normal? However, yields today are definitely trending toward normal, not away from it.

Second, that’s fantastic. Bond rates must be reasonable for savers to adequately diversify their holdings. Otherwise, they may purchase bizarre items, such as cartoon ape faces, and then convince themselves that the cartoons are valuable because they are NFTs, or non-fungible tokens — engineered digital scarcity enabled by the blockchain, which is something-something the future of money or something. And before you know it, the headline in the New York Post will read, “NYC Man Sells Fart for $85, Cashing in on NFT Craze.” That is exactly what occurred. It was less than three years ago.

Third, rising yields do not have to hurt stock investors. According to BofA Securities, inflation-adjusted bond rates were higher than currently on average from 1985 to 2005, and equities returned 15% per year over that time period. Subramanian, the firm’s head of US equity, is unconcerned about recent stock market selling. She claims that 5% market pullbacks have occurred three times each year on average since the 1920s.

Just as the majority of US mortgage holders have locked in low fixed rates, US corporations have purchased time to respond to increasing rates.

“Floating rate risk has been cut in at least half since 2007, and close to 80% of debt sitting on corporate balance sheets for the S&P 500 is fixed rate,” Subramanian states. She emphasizes that, unlike fixed income, businesses can adapt to changing situations. They’re adopting artificial intelligence and automation, for example, to become more efficient, which might help them control both their costs and broader labor inflation.

Barring a recession, mass layoffs, or a super spike in the oil price, the second quarter of this year is likely to mark the low point for S&P 500 earnings growth, with earnings gains picking up over the next one to two years, says Subramanian.

She asserted that the next narrative for margins may not be cost cutting, globalization, or cheap capital.However, it is possible that the focus will be on increased efficiency and more enduring operational improvements.

The latest year-end S&P 500 projection from BofA is 4600, representing a 9% increase from current levels. We’ll see what happens.The clearest call to action appears to be for investors who deserted high yield bonds 2023  for money markets, or worse, to return to a reasonable bond allocation. A 10-year inflation-adjusted Treasury yielded 2.3% lately, which is hardly cause to sell equities but is definitely better than an ape face.

Subscribe Our Newsletter

Hackers Returned $260 million to Crypto Platform
Hackers Returned $260 million to Crypto Platform

PolyNetwork, the victim of one of the largest cryptocurrency thefts, recovered more than a third of the $620 million in stolen digital currencies.

Crypto
Crypto US Legislation

Hazem

Crypto US Legislation is Coming Soon in 2025 – What is its Purpose?

New US crypto legislation is expected next year as pro-crypto Trump arrives at the office. Here’s a breakdown of the new crypto regulations in the US in 2025.

Crypto
Get the ultimate solution: B2BinPay Get the ultimate solution: B2BinPay
Sponsored
Constantine

How to Start a Liquidity Provider Business?
It was not so long ago that establishing a liquidity provider firm entailed venturing into a financial citadel protected by solid capital barriers, specially-built infrastructure, and a labyrinth of regulation. The domain was accessible only to a select few — Tier-1 banks, non-bank market makers, and institutional investors. But 2025 tells a very different story. […]

discover
Top 7 Liquidity Providers of 2022

Constantine

Top 7 Liquidity Providers of 2022

People and institutions have traded on the Forex market for a long time because of its relation to fiat trading pairs. However, despite cryptocurrency's quick ascent, traders found a whole new spectrum of applications for the digital money they were utilizing.

Liquidity
Contact us bg

Contact Us

Contact the Liquidity Provider
for any questions and advertising inquiries

    Please fill out this contact form to get in touch with us

    / 3000

    By clicking “Get in touch” button, you agree to the privacy policy

    Successful!
    Thank you for your request.
    We will contact you shortly.
    Close

    Constantine

    Best Copy Trading Software in 2025

    Best Copy Trading Software in 2025

    Alex

    What Is an AI Agent? The Future of Finance Explained

    AI Agent Explained

    Constantine

    How to Start a Liquidity Provider Business?

    How to Start a Liquidity Provider Business

    Constantine

    How to Start a White Label Brokerage?

    How to start a white label brokerage

    Constantine

    How to Start a Multi-Asset Brokerage?

    How to Start a Multi-Asset Brokerage

    Hazem

    Crypto Ransomware – How They Happen and How to Avoid Them

    Crypto ransomware explained

    Constantine

    Best Web3 Browsers in 2025

    Best Web3 Browsers

    Constantine

    Best DAO Projects in 2025

    Best DAO projects in 2025

    Alexander

    Crypto Nodes That Pay: Your 2025 Guide to Top Passive Income Opportunities in Crypto

    crypto nodes that pay

    Alex

    Pi Network: Scam or Groundbreaking Crypto? The Full Analysis

    Pi Network Explained

    Constantine

    Triple Net Lease: Meaning, Benefits, and Strategies Explained

    Triple Net Lease

    Constantine

    Hanging Man Pattern: How to Identify and Trade It Effectively

    Hanging Man Pattern

    Alex

    5 Infinite Banking Mistakes That Could Cost You Thousands

    Infinite Banking Mistakes to Avoid

    Aleksander

    Solana Firedancer: Solving Solana’s Biggest Problems with a New Engine

    Solana Firedancer explained

    Alexander

    What Is an Interest Coverage Ratio? How to Use This Financial Metric to Evaluate Company Health

    Interest Coverage Ratio Explained

    Hazem

    After-Hours Trading: Can You Trade After Financial Markets Close?

    After-Hours Trading Explained

    Alexander

    How to Scale a Crypto Exchange Business and Stay Competitive

    how to scale crypto exchange business

    Constantine

    Crypto CrypticStreet Review: The Future of DeFi and Secure Crypto Trading

    Crypto CrypticStreet Review: The Future of DeFi and Secure Crypto Trading

    Alexander

    Bitcoin Power Law Explained: How It Shapes BTC’s Long-Term Growth

    Bitcoin Power Law Explained: How It Shapes BTC’s Long-Term Growth

    Hazem

    Megaphone Pattern​: What Is It? How to Use It In Trading

    Megaphone Pattern​: How to Read & Trade with It

    Constantine

    Top 5 Liquidity Bridge Providers in DeFi

    Top 5 Liquidity Bridge Providers in DeFi

    Hazem

    Max Funded IUL Explained: Is It a Legitimate Financial Strategy?

    Understanding Max Funded IUL

    Alexander

    Tax Refund Timeline: When Will You Get Your Tax Return?

    how long does it take for tax refund

    Constantine

    Crypto Liquidity — What is it, and How to Measure It?

    What is Crypto Liquidity and How to Measure It?
    liquidity-provider-logo
    • News
      • Stock Market Forecast
      • Stocks
      • Banks and Finance
      • Companies
      • Crypto
      • Forex
      • AI
      • Technology
      • DeFi
      • NFT
    • Articles
      • Crypto Payments
      • Trading
      • Crypto Exchange Business
      • Forex Business
      • Fintech
      • Liquidity
      • FinTech Awards
      • Blockchain
      • Investing
      • NFT
      • DeFi
    • More
      • Videos
      • Liquidity Providers List
      • Crypto Payment Providers
      • White Label Brokerage Platforms
      • Broker CRM Platforms
    [email protected]

    © 2024 Liquidity Provider. All Rights Reserved

    Privacy Policy Cookie Policy
    This site is registered on wpml.org as a development site. Switch to a production site key to remove this banner.